| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 40.7% | 49% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 77% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.7% | 66% | -11.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 54% | +1.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.5% | 28.3% | 30.2% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 29.0% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 34.8% | 27.3% | 37.9% |
| Gillingham | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1409 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1409 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Huddersfield Town (R) | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Grimsby | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Grimsby | 1 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Barrow | 0 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Gillingham | 2 - 2 | Barrow |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Barrow | 3 - 0 | Gillingham |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Gillingham | 2 - 0 | Barrow |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Gillingham | 3 - 0 | Barrow |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Barrow | 2 - 0 | Gillingham |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Barrow | 2 - 1 | Gillingham |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Gillingham | 1 - 1 | Barrow |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.92 | 52.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |