| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.7% | 65% | -7.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.9% | 41.0% |
| logistic | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | Josip Simundza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Josip Simundza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Michel Hopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Mikovic, N | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Mar | A | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | H | Sergi Perez Contri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Josip Simundza | 0 - 2 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |