| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 57% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.7% | 82% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.7% | 76% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 64% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 23.4% | 25.7% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 22.8% | 23.4% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 24.7% | 24.0% |
| St Truiden | Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 01 Nov | H | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Club Brugge | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mechelen | 3 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Westerlo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Waasland-Beveren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Club Brugge | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Gent | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Anderlecht | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | St Truiden | 3 - 2 | Waregem |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Waregem | 0 - 2 | St Truiden |
| 27 Dec 2022 | St Truiden | 2 - 0 | Waregem |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Waregem | 0 - 3 | St Truiden |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Waregem | 0 - 2 | St Truiden |
| 07 Aug 2021 | St Truiden | 1 - 3 | Waregem |
| 13 Feb 2021 | St Truiden | 1 - 2 | Waregem |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Waregem | 0 - 2 | St Truiden |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Waregem | 5 - 1 | St Truiden |
| 24 Aug 2019 | St Truiden | 0 - 0 | Waregem |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 08 Nov 18:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 08 Nov 18:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 08 Nov 18:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 08 Nov 18:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 08 Nov 18:15 |