| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 45% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| logistic | 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Pedro Rodenas | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 997 | 73 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Jan | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | H | Tibo Colson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Alfredo Perez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Ernesto Escobedo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Leonardo Borrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Jul | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Jun | H | Dinko Dinev | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |