| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 73% | -15.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| logistic | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Kasidit Samrej | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1497 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1497 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Fajing Sun | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Enzo Aguiard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Sidharth Rawat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 May | A | Alex Hernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |