| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 64% | +1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Lorenzo Giustino | Gerard Campana Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 39 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Ponce De Leon Gomila, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Henry Bernet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Thiago Cigarran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Alejandro Garcia Carbajal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Nov 2023 | Gerard Campana Lee | 2 - 1 | Lorenzo Giustino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |