| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.0% | 67% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.4% | 72.5% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Daniel Altmaier | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1763 | 1952 |
| Surface Elo | 1763 | 1952 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Titouan Droguet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 1 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |