| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.7% | 43% | +0.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.2% | 77% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.4% | 58% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 63% | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.0% | 26.9% | 30.1% |
| xgboost | 35.9% | 32.5% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 39.8% | 28.5% | 31.8% |
| Hannover | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1525 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1525 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | St Pauli | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | St Pauli | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Magdeburg | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bochum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bochum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Heidenheim | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 1 | Hannover |
| 03 Aug 2025 | Hannover | 1 - 0 | Kaiserslautern |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 0 | Hannover |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Hannover | 3 - 1 | Kaiserslautern |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Hannover | 1 - 1 | Kaiserslautern |
| 06 Oct 2023 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 1 | Hannover |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Hannover | 1 - 3 | Kaiserslautern |
| 15 Jul 2022 | Kaiserslautern | 2 - 1 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.01 | 33.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.76 | 26.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.31 | 43.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |