| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.1% | 47% | +7.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.1% | 42.4% |
| xgboost | 59.1% | 40.0% |
| logistic | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Seattle Kraken | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1455 | 1437 |
| Surface Elo | 1455 | 1437 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.75 | 3.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 3.29 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 5 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 5 - 3 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Florida Panthers | 3 - 8 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 2 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 7 - 2 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 5 - 4 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 6 - 2 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Seattle Kraken | 5 - 2 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 4 | Seattle Kraken |
| 07 Feb 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 1 - 3 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 31 Oct 2024 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 1 | Seattle Kraken |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 29 Oct 01:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 29 Oct 01:20 |