| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.3% | 49% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 80.1% | 78% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.0% | 66% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 49% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.4% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 25.8% | 48.7% |
| logistic | 11.1% | 11.1% | 77.8% |
| Guiseley | Sutton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1342 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1342 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3115 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Leek Town FC | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Cleethorpes Town FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Ilkeston Town FC | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alfreton Town FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Apr | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Southampton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Worthing | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Worthing | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Aldershot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Aldershot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Feb 2018 | Sutton | 4 - 0 | Guiseley |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Guiseley | 0 - 2 | Sutton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |