| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 58% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| logistic | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Lucio Ratti | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1399 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1399 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Federico Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Diego Ortiz Gamonal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Federico Iannaccone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |