OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Karlsruhe 0.20 4 - 0 1.20 Darmstadt
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.4%45%+1.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.2%81%-4.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 58.8%60%-1.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.9%69%-11.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.8%23.6%35.6%
xgboost43.4%26.7%30.0%
logistic44.0%27.5%28.6%
Inputs the models saw
KarlsruheDarmstadt
Elo (pre-match)14041423
Surface Elo14041423
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.20
Form trend0.10-0.60
Season points per game0.711.00
Season goals for / game0.861.14
Season goals against / game2.002.00
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
Karlsruhe: last 5
11 OctASt Pauli0 - 2L
19 SepHNurnberg0 - 1L
13 SepHCottbus0 - 3L
04 SepAHannover2 - 2D
29 AugHWolfsburg2 - 5L
Darmstadt: last 5
10 OctHCottbus3 - 1W
10 OctHCottbus3 - 1W
18 SepAWolfsburg1 - 5L
11 SepHBielefeld2 - 1W
05 SepAKaiserslautern0 - 3L
Head to head
03 May 2026Karlsruhe2 - 1Darmstadt
06 Dec 2025Darmstadt3 - 2Karlsruhe
07 Mar 2025Darmstadt3 - 0Karlsruhe
04 Oct 2024Karlsruhe3 - 3Darmstadt
21 Apr 2023Darmstadt2 - 1Karlsruhe
15 Oct 2022Karlsruhe1 - 2Darmstadt
15 Jan 2022Darmstadt2 - 2Karlsruhe
30 Jul 2021Karlsruhe3 - 0Darmstadt
26 Feb 2021Darmstadt0 - 1Karlsruhe
01 Nov 2020Karlsruhe3 - 4Darmstadt
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8035.7%18 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%18 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%18 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%18 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%18 Oct 12:30
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC