| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.3% | 76% | +6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 84.4% | 15.5% |
| logistic | 74.6% | 25.4% |
| Taylor Fritz | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2055 | 1858 |
| Surface Elo | 2055 | 1858 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Alex Molcan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Ben Shelton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 23 Sep 2022 | Cameron Norrie | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Cameron Norrie | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 01 Nov 2021 | Cameron Norrie | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 19 Jul 2021 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| 22 Mar 2021 | Cameron Norrie | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 12 Oct 2020 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 17 Feb 2020 | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |