| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.2% | 68% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.0% | 23.9% |
| xgboost | 73.7% | 25.3% |
| logistic | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Colorado Avalanche | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1533 | 1423 |
| Surface Elo | 1533 | 1423 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 2.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.29 | 3.06 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 7 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Calgary Flames | 5 - 2 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 5 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Florida Panthers | 5 - 3 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 5 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 0 - 2 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 0 - 5 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 26 Mar 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 5 - 2 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 2 | Colorado Avalanche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 07 Nov 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.89 | 34.6% | 07 Nov 20:20 |