| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 55% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Ioannis Xilas | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1496 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1496 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.69 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Wright, Michael | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Vuk Krstajic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Thando Longwe-Smit | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Odysseas Geladaris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Benjamin Pietri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dimitris Azoidis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | James Mackinlay | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |