| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 62% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.0% | 85% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 75.7% | 79% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 64% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.8% | 22.7% | 55.5% |
| xgboost | 19.6% | 20.3% | 60.0% |
| logistic | 14.8% | 22.5% | 62.8% |
| Hibernian | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1922 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1922 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.78 | 2.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Falkirk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Falkirk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dundee United | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dundee United | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Annan Athletic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Celta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Hearts | 7 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Benfica | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 May 2026 | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | Celtic |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Celtic | 1 - 2 | Hibernian |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | Celtic |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Celtic | 0 - 0 | Hibernian |
| 10 May 2025 | Celtic | 3 - 1 | Hibernian |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | Celtic |
| 07 Dec 2024 | Celtic | 3 - 0 | Hibernian |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Hibernian | 0 - 2 | Celtic |
| 07 Feb 2024 | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | Celtic |
| 06 Dec 2023 | Celtic | 4 - 1 | Hibernian |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 25 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 25 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 25 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 25 Oct 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 25 Oct 12:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.64 | 21.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.36 | 18.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |