| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.3% | 29% | +18.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 78% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.2% | 40% | +20.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 58% | +4.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.7% | 26.8% | 40.5% |
| xgboost | 30.7% | 20.7% | 48.6% |
| logistic | 27.6% | 29.1% | 43.3% |
| Las Palmas | Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1646 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1646 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Lillestroem SK | 6 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Malaga | 5 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Almeria | 2 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | CD Aurrera de Vitoria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Las Palmas | 1 - 3 | Sociedad |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Sociedad | 0 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 04 May 2024 | Sociedad | 2 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Las Palmas | 0 - 0 | Sociedad |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | Sociedad |
| 26 Nov 2017 | Sociedad | 2 - 2 | Las Palmas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |