| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.3% | 76% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.7% | 26.2% |
| logistic | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Liam Draxl | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1705 | 1544 |
| Surface Elo | 1705 | 1544 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Duncan Chan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Dylan Dietrich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Timo Legout | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Christian Langmo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |