OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ La Liga 2 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Sp Gijon 1.80 2 - 1 0.20 Albacete
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.2%52%-0.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.3%81%-1.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.3%72%-1.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.0%52%+3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 52.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.3%25.8%24.9%
xgboost53.6%27.7%18.7%
logistic49.9%28.2%21.9%
Inputs the models saw
Sp GijonAlbacete
Elo (pre-match)15001399
Surface Elo15001399
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.20
Form trend-0.600.20
Season points per game1.780.11
Season goals for / game1.000.56
Season goals against / game0.892.22
Rest days55
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Sp Gijon: last 5
11 OctACadiz1 - 0W
04 OctHCelta B3 - 2W
27 SepAOviedo0 - 2L
19 SepAAndorra3 - 1W
13 SepHEldense0 - 1L
Albacete: last 5
12 OctAValladolid0 - 5L
12 OctAValladolid0 - 5L
06 OctACF Talavera de La Reina0 - 1L
03 OctHCF Talavera de La Reina0 - 4L
03 OctHEibar1 - 3L
Head to head
15 Feb 2026Albacete1 - 1Sp Gijon
28 Sep 2025Sp Gijon3 - 4Albacete
23 Mar 2025Sp Gijon0 - 2Albacete
27 Oct 2024Albacete3 - 3Sp Gijon
01 Mar 2024Sp Gijon2 - 1Albacete
22 Oct 2023Albacete1 - 3Sp Gijon
05 Mar 2023Albacete2 - 1Sp Gijon
03 Nov 2022Sp Gijon2 - 2Albacete
20 Feb 2021Albacete0 - 1Sp Gijon
03 Dec 2020Sp Gijon0 - 0Albacete
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.7027.0%17 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%17 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.9651.0%17 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%17 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8554.0%17 Oct 17:30
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC