| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 60% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.0% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Aidan Mayo | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1563 | 1614 |
| Surface Elo | 1563 | 1614 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 3 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |