| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.0% | 54% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.8% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Alina Charaeva | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1537 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1537 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Anna Blinkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Elina Avanesyan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Xiaodi You | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Venus Williams | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | A | Marta Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Eva Lys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | Sofia Kenin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |