| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.4% | 13% | +50.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 86.7% | 30% | +56.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 82.0% | 16% | +66.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% | 79% | -31.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 47.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 8.4% | 13.2% | 78.4% |
| xgboost | 25.4% | 23.5% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 16.0% | 23.6% | 60.4% |
| East Kilbride | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1904 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1904 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Hamilton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Ross County | 0 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Rangers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Rangers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | St Johnstone | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | St Mirren | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.30 | 15.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.21 | 82.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.10 | 24.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |