| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 59% | +1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| logistic | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Felix Gill | Buvaysar Gadamauri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Marcus Walters | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | Felix Gill |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | Felix Gill |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |