| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 52% | +2.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.3% | 43.6% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Damir Dzumhur | Abdullah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1627 | 1648 |
| Surface Elo | 1627 | 1648 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | Damir Dzumhur |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:15 |