| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.1% | 40% | +4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.5% | 78% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.6% | 54% | +5.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 45% | +9.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.7% | 26.5% | 40.8% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 28.3% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 27.5% | 29.2% | 43.3% |
| Osnabruck | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1362 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1362 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Greuther Furth | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Bielefeld | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Hannover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 2 | Osnabruck |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Osnabruck | 2 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |