| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.6% | 63% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.9% | 45.0% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Radu Mihai Papoe | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 0 | Zdenek Kolar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |