OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-10
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Saturday 10 October 2026, 04:00 UTC · finished
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0.60 1 - 2 1.20 Felix Auger Aliassime
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 77.4%96%-18.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov17.9%82.1%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost10.0%89.9%
logistic26.0%74.0%
Inputs the models saw
Camilo Ugo CarabelliFelix Auger Aliassime
Elo (pre-match)16881963
Surface Elo16881963
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.20
Form trend-0.600.60
Season points per game1.500.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days210
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Camilo Ugo Carabelli: last 5
10 OctHFelix Auger-Aliassime1 - 2L
08 OctHIlia Simakin2 - 1W
08 OctHIlia Simakin2 - 1W
24 SepAFederico Cina0 - 2L
24 SepHFederico Cina0 - 2L
Felix Auger Aliassime: last 5
30 SepAKaren Khachanov0 - 2L
03 SepHKaren Khachanov1 - 3L
31 AugHRinky Hijikata3 - 1W
20 AugHFrances Tiafoe0 - 2L
19 AugHJuan Manuel Cerundolo2 - 0W
Head to head
23 May 2022Camilo Ugo Carabelli0 - 3Felix Auger Aliassime
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.0496.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home13.507.4%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC