| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.7% | 52% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| logistic | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Federico Coria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1559 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1559 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Dante Pagani | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dreycopp, Ivan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 03 Mar 2025 | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 09 Oct 2023 | Federico Coria | 2 - 1 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 07 Aug 2023 | Federico Coria | 2 - 1 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |