| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.5% | 45% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.3% | 76% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.1% | 64% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 57% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.8% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 27.6% | 30.0% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| Juve Stabia | Sudtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Oct | H | US Palmese 1914 | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Vicenza | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Arezzo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Arezzo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Reggiana | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 May 2026 | Sudtirol | 1 - 1 | Juve Stabia |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Juve Stabia | 1 - 0 | Sudtirol |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Sudtirol | 2 - 0 | Juve Stabia |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Juve Stabia | 2 - 1 | Sudtirol |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.74 | 57.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |