OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-23
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Bochum 0.80 1 - 1 1.60 Wolfsburg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.1%48%-0.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.6%79%-3.8%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 60.7%63%-2.5%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.8%69%-6.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 59.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.5%25.5%44.0%
xgboost31.6%26.9%41.5%
logistic26.3%27.7%46.0%
Inputs the models saw
BochumWolfsburg
Elo (pre-match)14141543
Surface Elo14141543
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.60
Form trend0.70-0.50
Season points per game0.002.00
Season goals for / game0.333.50
Season goals against / game1.672.50
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 1 D
Bochum: last 5
17 OctAKaiserslautern0 - 2L
17 OctAKaiserslautern0 - 2L
11 OctHBielefeld0 - 1L
11 OctHBielefeld0 - 1L
20 SepAHannover1 - 2L
Wolfsburg: last 5
17 OctHHeidenheim3 - 1W
17 OctHHeidenheim3 - 1W
10 OctANurnberg4 - 4D
10 OctA1 FC Nuremberg4 - 4D
01 OctHTSV Havelse4 - 1W
Head to head
22 Feb 2025Wolfsburg1 - 1Bochum
05 Oct 2024Bochum1 - 3Wolfsburg
20 Apr 2024Wolfsburg1 - 0Bochum
02 Dec 2023Bochum3 - 1Wolfsburg
22 Apr 2023Bochum1 - 5Wolfsburg
29 Oct 2022Wolfsburg4 - 0Bochum
09 Jan 2022Bochum1 - 0Wolfsburg
14 Aug 2021Wolfsburg1 - 0Bochum
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.9950.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.4029.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4270.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8035.7%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC