| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.3% | 97% | -18.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.8% | 25.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 97.4% | 2.6% |
| logistic | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Kyrian Jacquet | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1795 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1795 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 35 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Jaume Munar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Holger Rune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Mikhail Kukushkin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Arthur Cazaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 15.00 | 6.7% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.03 | 97.1% | 05 Oct 06:15 |