| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.1% | 75% | -11.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Calvin Hemery | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1626 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1626 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Marlon Vankan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gabriel Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |