| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 47% | +8.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Julia Riera | Elina Avanesyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1533 | 1543 |
| Surface Elo | 1533 | 1543 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 169 | 57 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | A | Elina Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Jazmin Ortenzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | A | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Mar | H | Selena Janicijevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Sep | A | Alexandra Eala | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Julia Riera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Yulia Putintseva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Arantxa Rus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Elina Avanesyan | 2 - 0 | Julia Riera |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |