| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.2% | 50% | +6.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Tomas Farjat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1322 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1322 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 31 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.02 | 49.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |