| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.3% | 43% | +6.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.6% | 71% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.8% | 58% | +8.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 59% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 27.3% | 25.3% |
| xgboost | 41.3% | 30.9% | 27.8% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| Halifax | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Southend | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Southend | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | South Shields | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Stoke | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Gateshead | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Scunthorpe | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Aug 2019 | Barrow | 1 - 2 | Halifax |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Barrow | 0 - 0 | Halifax |
| 07 Aug 2018 | Halifax | 2 - 0 | Barrow |
| 02 Dec 2017 | Halifax | 0 - 1 | Barrow |
| 08 Aug 2017 | Barrow | 0 - 0 | Halifax |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |