| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 61% | -10.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | 80% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.0% | 77% | -12.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 65% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.8% | 23.6% | 27.6% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 24.5% | 27.0% |
| logistic | 47.7% | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| Porto | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1880 | 1816 |
| Surface Elo | 1880 | 1816 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Betis | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Maritimo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Maritimo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Leixoes SC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | FC Dordrecht | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Vitesse | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | RB Leipzig | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.47 | 18.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.78 | 20.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |