| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.1% | 50% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.6% | 79% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.5% | 69% | -3.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 55% | +11.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.1% | 26.4% | 25.4% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Bologna | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1651 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1651 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Atalanta | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Lazio | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 May | H | Inter | 3 - 3 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Roma | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Sassuolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Juventus | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Torino | 1 - 2 | Bologna |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Bologna | 0 - 0 | Torino |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Bologna | 3 - 2 | Torino |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Torino | 0 - 2 | Bologna |
| 03 May 2024 | Torino | 0 - 0 | Bologna |
| 27 Nov 2023 | Bologna | 2 - 0 | Torino |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Torino | 1 - 0 | Bologna |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Bologna | 2 - 1 | Torino |
| 06 Mar 2022 | Bologna | 0 - 0 | Torino |
| 12 Dec 2021 | Torino | 2 - 1 | Bologna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.13 | 24.2% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.58 | 27.9% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 19 Sep 06:16 |