| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.9% | 67% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 65.1% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1550 | 1709 |
| Surface Elo | 1550 | 1709 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Oliver Tarvet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |