| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 10% | +46.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 80.5% | 93% | -12.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.9% | 12% | +57.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 83% | -35.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 47.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.4% | 26.4% | 45.2% |
| xgboost | 30.4% | 24.6% | 45.0% |
| logistic | 32.1% | 27.7% | 40.2% |
| Leicester | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnsley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Stockport | 4 - 3 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Oxford | 0 - 4 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Liverpool | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Crystal Palace | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Sunderland | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Leicester | 0 - 2 | Fulham |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Fulham | 2 - 1 | Leicester |
| 08 May 2023 | Fulham | 5 - 3 | Leicester |
| 03 Jan 2023 | Leicester | 0 - 1 | Fulham |
| 03 Feb 2021 | Fulham | 0 - 2 | Leicester |
| 30 Nov 2020 | Leicester | 1 - 2 | Fulham |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Leicester | 3 - 1 | Fulham |
| 05 Dec 2018 | Fulham | 1 - 1 | Leicester |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.70 | 10.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.10 | 14.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.20 | 83.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.40 | 22.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |