| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 65% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.8% | 66.2% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Nicolas Bruna | Tomas Farjat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1406 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1406 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Scramin do Lago, Joao Vitor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Gabriel Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Mar | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep 2023 | Nicolas Bruna | 1 - 2 | Tomas Farjat |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |