| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.3% | 74% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| logistic | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1710 | 1933 |
| Surface Elo | 1710 | 1933 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Jakub Mensik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Adrian Mannarino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |