| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.5% | 90% | -14.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 75.7% | 24.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.4% | 11.6% |
| logistic | 72.9% | 27.1% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Matias Soto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Murkel Dellien | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |