| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 64% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| logistic | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Guillaume Dalmasso | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1451 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1451 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 4 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Leonardo Rossi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Aleksandr Braynin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Boutleux, Noah | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Roan Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Massard, L | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Melih Anavatan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Lumsden, E | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Jacopo Bilardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |