| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.1% | 61% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 65.7% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Cadence Brace | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Chukwumelije Clarke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Amandine Hesse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Tomase, E | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Solana Sierra | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Solana Sierra | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Sieg, Madison | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Misa Malkin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Ashton Bowers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Lahey, A | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |