| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.3% | 63% | -14.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 81% | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.9% | 81% | -18.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 50% | +8.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 56.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.1% | 25.9% | 40.0% |
| xgboost | 26.6% | 26.9% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 22.2% | 27.4% | 50.4% |
| Notts County | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1474 | 1591 |
| Surface Elo | 1474 | 1591 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 2.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Wycombe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Wycombe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 5 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Doncaster | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Doncaster | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bromley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bromley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Notts County | 2 - 5 | Stockport |
| 22 Dec 2023 | Stockport | 2 - 1 | Notts County |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Stockport | 3 - 0 | Notts County |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Notts County | 2 - 1 | Stockport |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Stockport | 0 - 0 | Notts County |
| 15 Dec 2020 | Notts County | 1 - 0 | Stockport |
| 06 Aug 2019 | Notts County | 1 - 1 | Stockport |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.99 | 50.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |