OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-16
🎾 ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Sing · Wednesday 16 September 2026, 08:40 UTC · finished
Pavel Kotov 1.80 2 - 0 1.20 Akira Santillan
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.9%81%-14.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost68.3%31.6%
logistic63.7%36.3%
Inputs the models saw
Pavel KotovAkira Santillan
Elo (pre-match)16681511
Surface Elo16681511
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend0.000.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days99
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Pavel Kotov: last 5
15 SepAShintaro Mochizuki2 - 0W
14 SepAMarat Sharipov0 - 2L
14 SepABernard Tomic2 - 0W
14 SepHRio Noguchi2 - 0W
14 SepAAkira Santillan2 - 0W
Akira Santillan: last 5
14 SepHPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepHYaojie Zeng2 - 0W
07 SepHBernard Tomic0 - 2L
31 AugHIlya Ivashka1 - 2L
31 AugHOmar Jasika2 - 0W
Head to head
14 Sep 2026Akira Santillan0 - 2Pavel Kotov
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.7526.7%16 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2480.7%16 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 22:44 UTC