| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 61.3% | 57% | +4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.3% | 33.6% |
| logistic | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Jay Clarke | Petr Brunclik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1562 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1562 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Brunclik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Sebastian Sorger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Jay Clarke | 2 - 0 | Petr Brunclik |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 16 Sep 06:15 |