| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.7% | 72% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| logistic | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Timo Legout | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1629 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1629 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Daniel De Jonge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Cooper Woestendick | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Kaylan Bigun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |