| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.4% | 69% | +7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.4% | 28.5% |
| logistic | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Mattia Bellucci | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1828 | 1676 |
| Surface Elo | 1828 | 1676 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.53 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Arthur Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Arthur Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Eero Vasa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Zsombor Piros | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Eero Vasa | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |