OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-23
🎾 ATP Challenger Cali, Colombia Men Singles · Friday 23 October 2026, 16:10 UTC · finished
Juan Manuel La Serna 2.40 1 - 2 2.40 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.6%72%-16.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov45.6%54.4%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost36.8%63.1%
logistic50.7%49.3%
Inputs the models saw
Juan Manuel La SernaMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Elo (pre-match)16911666
Surface Elo16911666
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.40
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game2.502.00
Season goals for / game1.171.56
Season goals against / game0.500.89
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Juan Manuel La Serna: last 5
21 OctHJuan Bautista Torres2 - 0W
20 OctAHugo Dellien1 - 0W
19 OctHMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida1 - 2L
19 OctAJuan Bautista Torres2 - 0W
19 OctAHugo Dellien1 - 0W
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: last 5
22 OctHNicolas Jarry2 - 0W
20 OctAJose Pereira2 - 0W
19 OctAGustavo Heide2 - 0W
19 OctAJuan Manuel La Serna2 - 1W
19 OctHNicolas Jarry2 - 0W
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Juan Manuel La Serna1 - 2Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
07 Oct 2024Juan Manuel La Serna0 - 2Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3971.9%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8535.1%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:00 UTC